AGI

Research on AGI

• Tao Feng, Chuanyang Jin, Jingyu Liu, Kunlun Zhu, Haoqin Tu, Zirui Cheng, Guanyu Lin, Jiaxuan You, 16 May 2024, How Far Are We From AGI, https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.10313
• Nathan Lambert, APR 18, 2024, Llama 3: Scaling open LLMs to AGI, https://www.interconnects.ai/p/llama-3-and-scaling-open-llms
• jbetke, June 3, 2024, General Intelligence (2024), https://nonint.com/2024/06/03/general-intelligence-2024/
• Steve Yadlowsky, Lyric Doshi, Nilesh Tripuraneni, Nov 2023, Pretraining Data Mixtures Enable Narrow Model Selection Capabilities in Transformer Models, https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.00871
• Denise Holt, Jan 29, 2024, “Deep Learning is Rubbish” — Karl Friston & Yann LeCun Face Off at Davos 2024 World Economic Forum, 𝐀𝐈 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐤𝐬.𝐢𝐨, https://medium.com/aimonks/deep-learning-is-rubbish-karl-friston-yann-lecun-face-off-at-davos-2024-world-economic-forum-494e82089d22
• Hayden Field, June 20, 2024, OpenAI competitor Anthropic announces its most powerful AI yet, CNBC, https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/anthropic-claude-3point5-sonnet-ai-announced.html
• Arjun Kharpal, June 21, 2024, SoftBank CEO says AI that is 10,000 times smarter than humans will come out in 10 years, CNBC, https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/21/softbank-ceo-predicts-ai-that-is-10000-times-smarter-than-humans-.html
• Rahul Verma, June 21, 2024, OpenAI's GPT-5 Pushed Back To Late 2025, But Promises Ph.D.-Level Abilities, https://in.mashable.com/tech/77593/openais-gpt-5-pushed-back-to-late-2025-but-promises-phd-level-abilities
• Ignacio de Gregorio, June 2024, Mixture-of-Agents Beats ChatGPT-4o: Collaboration is Intelligence, https://medium.com/@ignacio.de.gregorio.noblejas/mixture-of-agents-beats-chatgpt-4o-6470a74f1525
• Rachel Metz, July 12, 2024, OpenAI Scale Ranks Progress Toward ‘Human-Level’ Problem Solving: The company believes its technology is approaching the second level of five on the path to artificial general intelligence, Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-11/openai-sets-levels-to-track-progress-toward-superintelligent-ai?sref=P6Q0mxvj
• Anna Tong and Katie Paul July 16, 2024, Exclusive: OpenAI working on new reasoning technology under code name ‘Strawberry’, https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openai-working-new-reasoning-technology-under-code-name-strawberry-2024-07-12/
• Ethan Mollick, May 12, 2024, Superhuman? What does it mean for AI to be better than a human? And how can we tell? https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/superhuman
• Zarif Bin Akhtar, Mapping Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI's) Exciting Future: From Gemini to Q* and Beyond, https://publications.eai.eu/index.php/airo/article/view/5962 https://doi.org/10.4108/airo.5962 PDF: https://publications.eai.eu/index.php/airo/article/view/5962/3329
• Jack Dymond, August 2024, Progressive Intelligence for Low-Power Devices, Ph.D. Thesis, Faculty of Engineering and Physical Sciences, School of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Southampton, https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/492900/1/JackDymond-Final-Thesis.pdf
• Rohin Shah, Seb Farquhar, Anca Dragan, 21st Aug 2024, AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind: A Summary of Recent Work, https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/79BPxvSsjzBkiSyTq/agi-safety-and-alignment-at-google-deepmind-a-summary-of
• Roy Lo, June 13, 2024, Defining AI 2.0: Beyond Generative AI, https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/defining-ai-20-beyond-generative-roy-lo-tbvie/
• Ryan McNeal, Aug 27, 2024, ChatGPT and GPT-4 could get a sweet upgrade this fall with 'strawberry', https://www.androidauthority.com/openai-strawberry-ai-3475682/
• Vishal Rajput, Jul 8, 2024, Why LLMs Can’t Plan And Unlikely To Reach AGI? https://medium.com/aiguys/why-llms-cant-plan-and-unlikely-to-reach-agi-642bda3e0aa3
• Lareina Yee, June 7, 2024, Gen AI: A cognitive industrial revolution, https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/gen-ai-a-cognitive-industrial-revolution
• Martin_Casado, Aug 31, 2024, Tweet (State of LLMs) https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1829905130512400775.html
• Gian Segato, September 2024, The dawn of a new startup era, https://giansegato.com/essays/dawn-new-startup-era
• Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Ege Erdil, David Owen, Robi Rahman, Zifan Carl Guo, David Atkinson, Neil Thompson, Jaime Sevilla, Mar 12, 2024, Algorithmic Progress in Language Models, Epoch AI, https://epochai.org/blog/algorithmic-progress-in-language-models
• Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Ege Erdil, David Owen, Robi Rahman, Zifan Carl Guo, David Atkinson, Neil Thompson, Jaime Sevilla, 9 Mar 2024, Algorithmic progress in language models, https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.05812
• Alberto Romero. Sep 10, 2024, Big News: OpenAI to Launch AI Model That Can Reason in 2 Weeks, https://www.thealgorithmicbridge.com/p/big-news-openai-to-launch-ai-model
• David Gilmore, Sep 2024, When will AI outthink humans? https://davidvgilmore.com/writings/outthinking-ai (Interesting analysis of all the GPUs in the world and when they will "out-think" all the human knowledge workers, predicting a range of years from 2028 to 2035, depending on assumptions.)
• Chloe Berger, October 2, 2024, Mark Cuban says his puppy is ‘smarter than AI is today’, https://fortune.com/2024/10/01/mark-cuban-dog-puppy-smarter-than-ai/
• Julia Love and Rachel Metz, October 2, 2024, Google Is Working on Reasoning AI, Chasing OpenAI’s Efforts, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-02/google-is-working-on-reasoning-ai-chasing-openai-s-efforts
• Samantha Kelly, Sept. 29, 2024, 'Superintelligent' AI Is Only a Few Thousand Days Away: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, https://www.cnet.com/tech/services-and-software/superintelligent-ai-is-only-a-few-thousand-days-away-openai-ceo-sam-altman/
• Tianyang Zhong, Zhengliang Liu, Yi Pan, Yutong Zhang, Yifan Zhou, Shizhe Liang, Zihao Wu, Yanjun Lyu, Peng Shu, Xiaowei Yu, Chao Cao, Hanqi Jiang, Hanxu Chen, Yiwei Li, Junhao Chen, Huawen Hu, Yihen Liu, Huaqin Zhao, Shaochen Xu, Haixing Dai, Lin Zhao, Ruidong Zhang, Wei Zhao, Zhenyuan Yang, Jingyuan Chen, Peilong Wang, Wei Ruan, Hui Wang, Huan Zhao, Jing Zhang, Yiming Ren, Shihuan Qin, Tong Chen, Jiaxi Li, Arif Hassan Zidan, Afrar Jahin, Minheng Chen, Sichen Xia, Jason Holmes, Yan Zhuang, Jiaqi Wang, Bochen Xu, Weiran Xia, Jichao Yu, Kaibo Tang, Yaxuan Yang, Bolun Sun, Tao Yang, Guoyu Lu, Xianqiao Wang, Lilong Chai, He Li, Jin Lu, Lichao Sun, Xin Zhang, Bao Ge, Xintao Hu, Lian Zhang, Hua Zhou, Lu Zhang, Shu Zhang, Ninghao Liu, Bei Jiang, Linglong Kong, Zhen Xiang, Yudan Ren, Jun Liu, Xi Jiang, Yu Bao, Wei Zhang, Xiang Li, Gang Li, Wei Liu, Dinggang Shen, Andrea Sikora, Xiaoming Zhai, Dajiang Zhu, Tianming Liu, 27 Sep 2024, Evaluation of OpenAI o1: Opportunities and Challenges of AGI, https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.18486
• https://www.cio.com/article/3567138/ai-native-software-engineering-may-be-closer-than-developers-think.html
• Ignacio de Gregorio Noblejas, October 20, 2024, The Anti-LLM Revolution Begins,https://thetechoasis.beehiiv.com/p/the-anti-llm-revolution-begins
• Aki Ranin, Sep 2, 2024, The Code Canaries Are Singing — Our Path Toward AGI: How the fate of human software developers reveals our path toward AGI, https://akiranin.medium.com/the-code-canaries-are-singing-our-path-toward-agi-6c234cae0189
• Will Lockett Nov 2024, Apple Calls BS On The AI Revolution, They aren’t late to the AI game; they are just the only sceptical big tech company. https://medium.com/predict/apple-calls-bullshit-on-the-ai-revolution-ae38fdf83392
• Anthony Ha, Nov 2024, OpenAI reportedly developing new strategies to deal with AI improvement slowdown, https://techcrunch.com/2024/11/09/openai-reportedly-developing-new-strategies-to-deal-with-ai-improvement-slowdown/
• Michael Nuñez, November 11, 2024, AI’s math problem: FrontierMath benchmark shows how far technology still has to go, https://venturebeat.com/ai/ais-math-problem-frontiermath-benchmark-shows-how-far-technology-still-has-to-go/
• Kyle Orland, 13 Nov 2024, What if AI doesn’t just keep getting better forever? New reports highlight fears of diminishing returns for traditional LLM training. https://arstechnica.com/ai/2024/11/what-if-ai-doesnt-just-keep-getting-better-forever/
• Gary Marcus, Nov 25, 2024, A new AI scaling law shell game? Scaling laws ain’t what they used to be, https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/a-new-ai-scaling-law-shell-game
• Brian Merchant, Dec 2024, AI Generated Business: The Rise of AGI and the Rush to Find a Working Business Model, https://ainowinstitute.org/general/ai-generated-business
• David Luan, Pieter Abbeel, December 09, 2024, Amazon opens new AI lab in San Francisco focused on long-term research bets. The Amazon AGI SF Lab will focus on developing new foundational capabilities for enabling useful AI agents. https://www.amazon.science/blog/amazon-opens-new-ai-lab-in-san-francisco-focused-on-long-term-research-bets
• Deirdre Bosa, Jasmine Wu, Dec 11 2024, The limits of intelligence — Why AI advancement could be slowing down, https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/11/why-ai-advancement-could-be-slowing-down.html
• Alberto Romero, Dec 21, 2024, OpenAI o3 Model Is a Message From the Future: Update All You Think You Know About AI. Incredible, a miracle, more than just a better state-of-the-art AI model. https://www.thealgorithmicbridge.com/p/openai-o3-model-is-a-message-from
• Sabrina Ortiz, Dec. 20, 2024, OpenAI unveils its most advanced o3 reasoning model on its last day of 'shipmas', https://www.zdnet.com/article/openai-unveils-its-most-advanced-o3-reasoning-model-on-its-last-day-of-shipmas/
• Akash Bajwa, Jan 06, 2025, Test-Time Search: A Path To AGI: Stacking Scaling Laws And Reward Engineering, https://akashbajwa.substack.com/p/test-time-search-a-path-to-agi
• Duncan Anderson, Jan 2025, The wall that wasn’t: Benchmark results for the latest AI models suggest that any “scaling wall” has already been breached and we’re on the path to AGI. https://medium.com/barnacle-labs/the-wall-that-wasnt-62c617f66ad4
• Alhassan Mumuni, Fuseini Mumuni, 6 Jan 2025, Large language models for artificial general intelligence (AGI): A survey of foundational principles and approaches, https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.03151
• Jeffrey Anthony, Jan 2025, No GPT-5 in 2025 and No AGI — Ever. The Triadic Nature of Meaning-Making and the Fallacy of AI’s Understanding. https://medium.com/@WeWillNotBeFlattened/no-gpt-5-in-2025-and-no-agi-ever-aa9384efdbe5
• Ndea, Jan 16, 2025, Ndea is building frontier AI systems that blend intuitive pattern recognition and formal reasoning into a unified architecture., https://ndea.com/
• Akash Bajwa Jan 27, 2025, The Post-R1 World: AI Economics Have Irreversibly Changed, https://akashbajwa.substack.com/p/the-post-r1-world
• Mohit Sewak, Ph.D., January 29, 2025, Achieving General Intelligence (AGI) and Super Intelligence (ASI): Pathways, Uncertainties, and Ethical Concerns, https://towardsai.net/p/l/achieving-general-intelligence-agi-and-super-intelligence-asi-pathways-uncertainties-and-ethical-concerns
• Alberto Romero, Feb 06, 2025, AGI Is Already Here—It’s Just Not Evenly Distributed: Or: why you should learn to prompt AI models, https://open.substack.com/pub/thealgorithmicbridge/p/agi-is-already-hereits-just-not-evenly
• Arjun Kharpal, Feb 6 2025, ‘Dangerous proposition’: Top scientists warn of out-of-control AI, https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/07/dangerous-proposition-top-scientists-warn-of-out-of-control-ai.html
• Nikhil Anand, Feb 2025, Why I think DeepSeek-R1 just revealed the path to AGI. Here’s a visual explanation of exactly what makes DeepSeek-R1 so good. https://ai.gopubby.com/why-i-think-deepseek-r1-just-revealed-the-path-to-agi-d0add267197d
• Sam Altman, Feb 10, 2025, Three Observations, https://blog.samaltman.com/three-observations (Talks about scaling laws, inference costs reducing, and AGI. One of them: "The cost to use a given level of AI falls about 10x every 12 months, and lower prices lead to much more use. ")
• Tobias Schnabel, Kiran Tomlinson, Adith Swaminathan, Jennifer Neville, 19 May 2025 (v2), Lost in Transmission: When and Why LLMs Fail to Reason Globally, https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.08140
• Apoorv Agrawal, May 23, 2025, Why Cars Drive Themselves Before Computers Do: Robocars are ready; robot secretaries aren’t… yet, https://apoorv03.com/p/autonomy
• Parshin Shojaee, Maxwell Horton, Iman Mirzadeh, Samy Bengio, Keivan Alizadeh, June 2025, The Illusion of Thinking: Understanding the Strengths and Limitations of Reasoning Models via the Lens of Problem Complexity, Apple, https://machinelearning.apple.com/research/illusion-of-thinking https://ml-site.cdn-apple.com/papers/the-illusion-of-thinking.pdf
• Dr. Ashish Bamania, June 2025, Apple’s New Research Shows That LLM Reasoning Is Completely Broken: A deep dive into Apple research that exposes the flawed thinking process in state-of-the-art Reasoning LLMs, https://ai.gopubby.com/apples-new-research-shows-that-llm-reasoning-is-completely-broken-47b5be71a06a

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